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Unless governments break the cycle of tariff and retaliation, a global recession or depression starts. However, China showed there could be a better way to fight a trade war. China Shows How to Fight a 21st Century Trade War
by Michael Carr January 12, 2018 Global Economy
Tariffs give a country time to develop a capability or to protect a critical industry. However, China showed there could be a better way to fight a trade war.
Federal Reserve officials expect to raise interest rates three times in 2018. But traders are expecting a decline in interest rates. This is how we know. Traders Are Betting the Fed Is Wrong
by Michael Carr January 10, 2018 U.S. Economy
At least for now, traders don’t agree with the Fed. In the futures markets, traders are betting with real money that interest rates are going to decline.
People are beginning to buy up stocks in things like metals and mining.There are a couple of different ways to invest in production using a metals and mining etfs. The Production Boom Has Years of Growth Ahead
by Ian Dyer January 10, 2018 Stocks
Over the past couple of years, the outlook on global growth has been a roller coaster. But now production is nearing an all-time high.
I predict that emerging markets (EMs) are going to be one of the big winners of the year. In 2017, EMs were a bit of a sleeper hit. The S&P 500 was up just over 20% last year. Everybody was chasing U.S. equity gains. But EMs soared over 37% in 2017. How to Cash In on Emerging Markets with ETFs & Boost Your Portfolio These investments would have earned you a whopping 70% more than the S&P 500 … and I’m convinced they’re going to beat that performance in 2018.
Bear markets, or a stock market decline of more than 20%, generally follow periods when the ROC is declining. So here's why you shouldn't be worried about a stock market decline yet. S&P 500 Still Far From a Bubble
by Michael Carr January 8, 2018 Stocks
After a strong gain in 2017, many investors are worried about 2018. One concern is that the good times can’t last forever.

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