Investors reaped above-average gains for most of the past 42 years. We’re likely to see below-average gains in the future.
Longer-term investors’ buying creates the sharp rallies that often follow rapid declines. However, these rallies are short-lived until the fundamentals improve.
Utilities are usually up there with gold, the yen or the Swiss franc when it comes to safe havens. But that may be about to change.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is going to buy Chinese stocks. History shows that this plan could help investors make money.
Ray Dalio is a great investor. His opinion is worth listening to. Right now, he believes we face tough times.
As I said on Fox Business, we are in a bear market. And we’ve been in a bear market since the market’s peak in early October.
Here we are, exactly 12 months after my spot-on prediction, and I go back to my trusty 100-year-old calendar to see what 2019 has in store.
This chart shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 1,000-point gain on the day after Christmas included a rare buy signal.
As the Fed winds up its rate-raising policy, we’ll see a slow rotation into these kinds of stocks. They’re out of favor and about as cheap as they come.
This one simple chart will put in perspective the current volatile market and tell you what to expect in 2019 and beyond.
As investors suffer through the worst December since the Great Depression, they need a Santa Claus rally now more than ever.
This chart highlights the consistency the Santa Claus rally has seen. That helps explain why it’s a phenomenon tracked heavily in the markets.
The death cross has happened right before some of the biggest market crashes in recent history. However, it hasn’t been bearish over the long run.
My indicator has predicted nearly every major move in the stock market. And it isn’t calling for a bear market until 2022.
The S&P 500 Index, the stock market‘s most-tracked index, is set to form a “death cross.” That’s an extremely bearish indicator.
There is a critical concept that too many investors forget when they jump into the fray with their money. When it comes to uncovering the best companies, cash is still king. The idea can be easily overlooked when it comes to flashy new products and big promises for the future, but the power of cash […]
2018 is shaping up to be the worst for investors in more than 100 years. That might be good news for 2019, as bad years bring positive returns thereafter.
Constantly watching how your stocks are doing doesn’t make you a better investor. It just stresses you out and wastes your time.
Investors are still picking up the pieces from last month’s sell-off. Yet with all this despair, could a “Santa Claus rally” be right around the corner?
There are a lot of scary headlines out there right now. But you’ll never get rich if you go to cash — and you’ll never get rich by selling too early.
Last week I told you about cash. I believe it is the single most important concept in investing. Without cash, you’re just talking.
October’s wild ride may be just what the stock market needed. That’s because extremes are short-lived, and ultimately make way for new rallies.
According to market researchers, consumer staples was one of the only sectors to survive October’s vicious sell-off with a net positive gain.
The amount of fear in the market right now has been exaggerated by the media. That’s why during this market dip there’s not as big of a rise in the VIX.
If the next bear market is something that keeps you up at night, there’s just one indicator in the S&P 500 you need to watch — the death cross.
Spotting the end of the bear market is rewarding. The S&P 500 Index jumped more than 26% in the month after the last bear market ended.
October has been a rough month. But the stock market is set to enter its own Tom Brady-like comeback mode, and you don’t want to miss it.
The stock prices of the group reflected hopes for the new markets. And a bubble developed. But the bubble reached irrational peaks. All bubbles do.
From high to low, the S&P 500 Index dropped about 7.8%. Of course, we don’t know if the bear market started yet. But we do know the decline isn’t over.
Most stocks and indexes move in line with the S&P 500 Index. But some show fear or greed earlier or later than the S&P 500.
In the late 1990s and early 2000s, the dot-com bubble was a rat race to be the next major tech company. With that said, today is also a historic moment.
A much-needed correction is out of the way, I don’t see volatility being an issue in October. Don’t want to sell with the momentum brewing in the market.
Judging from the media headlines, this is a volatile period in the stock market. We’ve all seen the news: Emerging markets are crashing! A global trade war is imminent! And rates are rising, despite President Trump’s disapproval. All of this makes for great headlines. It also comes across as vital information, driving market prices back […]
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates by a quarter point and signaled yet another quarter-point hike before the end of the year. Notably, this is the first time the Fed funds rate — currently at 2.00% to 2.25% — has risen above the rate of inflation. The Fed’s preferred metric for inflation […]
The lights from the Las Vegas Strip are flashing outside my hotel window, and it’s well after midnight, but my mind is abuzz with new ideas. I just spent that past three days with the various Banyan Hill editors and more than five hundred of our subscribers. We discussed not only the outlook for the […]
A bear market doesn’t just happen. It hints at its arrival for weeks or months. Alert investors see the bull market dying before their eyes.
Many of you have asked why I’ve been bullish all year despite dire warnings from market watchers. Well, it all comes down to a chart that I look at daily.
Much has changed since the ’80s. But the wisdom of the bond market hasn’t. Bond traders often warn of problems before traders in the stock market spot the changes.
Last week, I had a flashback moment. I flashed back to October 3, 2000. To most of you, that date probably means nothing, but let me explain.
Apple is doomed. And 2018 is the year where I believe you’ll start to see that this once-great American company has peaked and is ready to decline.
Malls are supposed to be dead. But the nation’s largest mall owner posted better-than-expected earnings in the fourth quarter while raising its dividend.
If the history of market reactions to Amazon has taught me anything, it’s that now is a great time to buy stocks in the health care sector.
Netflix is spending a ton of money on its own content to add new subscribers — and the reason why may be what kills its rally.
It’s been more than 19 months since the last 5% dip in the S&P 500 Index. This is just the sixth time we’ve gone more than a year without a 5% correction.
One of the more popular opinions is that stocks are overbought. The problem is that few experts tell us what overbought means.
With one of the hottest sectors in recent years failing to keep pace with the broader markets, it gives us a significant buying opportunity — here’s why.
As this ratio moves lower, it starts to tell us what we can expect from the market — and right now, it’s telling us to expect a pullback.
We are in unprecedented times. Whether we like it or not, cash is going away. And this has created an excellent opportunity for investors…
There’s a reason the Super Bowl indicator works. And since it does work, that means we can even use the stock market to predict the Super Bowl.
The way this industry as a whole has reacted to recent news has convinced me it is here to stay, and if you don’t have exposure to it yet — now is the time.
This is just the seventh time this rare signal has happened since 2002. And it’s saying the odds of a market sell-off just increased.
Over the past couple of years, the outlook on global growth has been a roller coaster. But now production is nearing an all-time high.
After a strong gain in 2017, many investors are worried about 2018. One concern is that the good times can’t last forever.
Many investors will worry that 2017’s gains won’t last and 2018 will deliver a loss. Data says those worries are misplaced.
Past performance isn’t a guide to the future. But it’s likely companies that aggressively used tax shelters in the past will find new ones in the future.
Gun control has been a hot topic in politics. And the fear of restrictions on guns has been very profitable for gun manufacturers.
I took plenty of heat back in June when I said the Amazon-Whole Foods merger “would be a surprising setback for the internet giant.” Looks like I was right.
Using an indicator called the VIX Fix, we can see what market volatility was before 1990. That’s helpful when putting the current market into context.
Some trading myths have no real basis. Learning the truth about the legendary January Effect Myth will put you ahead of the curve in 2018.
There is a disconnect between the market and a major source of dividend income for investors — MLPs, or master limited partnerships.
After a bear market, many investors are late to reinvest. But, slowly, the bull market proves it’s real … often fueling a large stock market rally.
The Black Friday chaos hasn’t slowed shoppers. And the boost it gives to the retailers is immediately transparent in retail stocks.
We are at a point in the market right now where the Dogs of the Dow will outperform over the next year as they go on their comeback rally.
More countries are relying on solar energy to meet their electricity needs and now a new technology has emerged that can change the industry.
While the financial media has the world convinced that retail is officially dead, big money has found a new use for the retail sector.
Friday is a big day for the stock market. That’s when we see the monthly employment report. That report almost always creates volatility.
You would think AT&T would have learned its lessons by now. But once again, we find a tech company clinging to the status quo.
Among the bears’ most interesting arguments is that stocks are overvalued. But with interest rates where they are, stocks are deeply undervalued.
There are two kinds of stocks: those with value, and those that are value traps. What’s the difference? The epic debacle of one hedge fund offers clues.
If you are not worried about a market correction, I’m going to show you yet another reason why you need to start preparing now.
This just happens to be the highest level of bullishness among small, regular, everyday, Main Street investors ever recorded.
The Volatility Index typically moves in the opposite direction of the market. This is because when the market is falling, people buy options to hedge.
We should expect a big price move soon. And for now, I’m switching camps. I’m a bull, at least until this indicator reverses again.
Small caps always lead the market, both up and down. For now, the trend is up. When the decline starts, it will be important to sell.
This is one of the most followed and studied market indicators out there. And right now, it states we are still comfortably in a bull market.
A bull market can only continue when most stocks are moving up. When too many stocks are declining, the bull market ends.
You may not know who Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee and DJ Khaled are. But they’re important to know because there was a study about how pop music relates to the stock market.
The semiconductor sector recently showed a bearish signal — and this subsector has actually been leading the technology sector as a whole this year.
Earnings forecasts are too high or too low about 90% of the time. And once again, analysts are well off the mark.
The head-and-shoulders pattern has broken down, but the financial sector itself is now range-bound, and that can be just as important.
After a brief dip in the wake of Goldman Sachs’ highly publicized research note, Tesla’s stock is still marching higher … irrationally so.
I’ll show you today how we could’ve seen the sell-off in the tech sector coming, and why more weakness is to be expected in the tech sector.
Facebook, Apple and Amazon, Netflix, and Google (FANG) are the undisputed heavyweights of the Internet economy. However, these five stocks don’t control the broad market.
The pattern I stumbled on is a classic head-and-shoulders pattern. In this case, it is calling for a sharp decline — and soon.
There’s still no shortage of bad news, but the S&P 500 Index has recovered. Does this mean the bears were wrong? Some testing shows that they probably were.
In 2016, a technical signal told me the stock market was going to keep rallying — and it did. Now that same signal is flashing the rally sign again.
Many traders say that unless the Dow Jones Industrial Average falls by 20%, we aren’t in a bear market. That’s a little too simple.
This chart shows that the individual stocks are following the trends of the major market indexes. This tells us that more new highs lie ahead.
We could be enjoying a bull market that might last until 2028, and over the next 11 years, the Dow could reach 60,000. It won’t go straight up, though.
On Tuesday, the Dow snapped its longest losing streak since 2011. It’s important to dive into the data and see what the losing streak really means.
Researchers at the Cleveland branch of the Federal Reserve have found that the “head and shoulders” pattern can be traded profitably.
When the Federal Reserve raises rates, market pundits like to talk about the sell-off they expect to see. But will a stumble really happen?
You should probably forget everything you think you know about volatility. That means you’ll bring an open mind to the current market situation.
It seems safe to say the broad stock market is overbought. But average investors should look at where stocks are now relative to the long term.
CFRA recently published a report showing that if both January and February are up, we tend to see a very strong stock market for the next 10 months.
Market analysts often misinterpret the data they’re reading. That’s what seems to be happening in small-cap stocks, or stocks of smaller companies.
The ideas driving the Russell 2000 Index’s advance are similar to the ones driving larger-cap stocks — with one major exception.
Dow 20,000 was something to be excited about. But at some point that excitement will temper … and the stock market’s expectations will temper as well.
It’s one thing to make money in a bull market for tech stocks, but a good trader can find opportunities in even the most hated market sectors.
The Internet of Things (IoT) is no longer just a buzzword in tech circles. It is a tech revolution that researchers predict will top $373 billion in 2020.
Markets rarely perform as everyone expects them to do. I believe we’re in for an amazing roller coaster ride in 2017, and if you like trades that deliver quickly, you’ll want to be a part of it.
Every day the market defies expectations, moves further from “normal.” Adaptation is critical … that’s why we added a new member to our team with a very unique background.
The millennial generation is the largest in U.S. history. But due to modern technology, millennials are a global movement. India, China, France, etc. … It’s all-encompassing. And they’re all spending.
The potential benefit to human lives is going to be huge, as Big Data companies step forward to implement the Internet of Things in the health care sector.
Most millennials don’t see robots as the world-destroying nightmares shown in movies, and this has made them a generation eager to adopt this new tech boom.
Five years ago, Microsoft was a laughingstock. Apple products were selling like hotcakes, and Bing was … well, Bing. But the LinkedIn acquisition marked the beginning of a new era.
Through the use of Big Data, doctors will be able to develop more effective treatments and improve efficiency, which will save lives and cut costs…
Those with information and an understanding of an idea’s potential bet big. And one big bettor just plunked down $32 billion in an Internet of Things company.
Rates are headed higher and earnings are headed lower stateside. And yet, dividends are not only unfazed, but recommended on Wall Street. Something’s rotten, and it’s time for investors to look abroad for better yield opportunities.