Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s sudden dovish shift has been a huge boon for the markets in 2019.
The Federal Reserve’s three count must now come with a larger set of consequences — zero interest rates and quantitative easing.
Recently, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell became a yes-man. And this sudden change is all that matters in 2019.
There’s a large-scale retreat from equities by institutional investors like pension funds, and by Main Street investors like you and me.
In this video, Paul Mampilly notes companies at the heart of Bold Profits investment plays are driving a new industrial renaissance that will make investors big money.
The Commerce Department began publishing this data in 1992. Its sell signal avoided every bear market since then.
Many people mistake the Federal Reserve’s short-term retreat on interest rates as a permanent victory over a bear market.
Retail sales saw their biggest drop since September 2009. This news surprised many investors. But there are some explanations for retail’s headwinds.
In truth, there’s largely nothing to any of investors’ fears. And as they began to realize that, they started getting their confidence back.
Uncertainty about the path of future interest-rate increases is what led to the stock market’s recent turmoil. All that was needed was for the Fed to change its course.
The stories cover problems of 2 million government workers. In the next recession, we’re likely to have much more than 2 million unemployed.
If you’re hoping for a swift rebound for the stock market in 2019, the latest holiday sales numbers will be welcome news…
There is a major event set to take place in the stock market this Wednesday. It’s one that analysts and investors have been speculating about for months. Some have attributed this single event to whether or not the U.S. economy heads into a recession in 2019. At 2 p.m. EST, the Federal Reserve will announce […]
Forecasts are hard to make. But profits tend to rely on forecasts. For a small business, it’s important to forecast well. If there are too many customers and not enough inventory, the business can fail. Too much inventory can also lead to failure. Hiring plans and inventory depend on future expectations. Owners might get it wrong, […]
Traders were right that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent speech was important. But buying stocks was the wrong reaction.
An indicator with an impeccable track record has all but triggered a countdown to the next recession. It warrants caution.
We’re in a deflationary boom period driven by rapid technological developments. And the stocks you want to own are the ones creating this boom.
Where do we go from here? From my perch, it looks like the markets have already priced in the Federal Reserve’s work, at least in the short term.
Expectations were for a whopping 17.3% sales growth for Black Friday weekend online sales. But even those sky-high expectations got shattered.
Black Friday is always the Friday after Thanksgiving, and shopping habits on that day have helped drive year-end growth for the stock market.
We’re in an era of rising interest rates and declining liquidity — both courtesy of the Federal Reserve’s policies over the last three years.
Competition is what made capitalism a success story. Without competition, capitalism is simply a big racket, with us as the marks.
Consumer prices’ slow and steady climb will force the Fed to keep raising interest rates. Inflation needs to be subdued for the Fed to stop raising rates.
You might remember the last recession. Unemployment jumped from 4.8% to 10%. The S&P 500 Index dropped more than 55%. It sent such a shockwave through the business world that it was given the moniker of “Great,” though it certainly didn’t feel so great when it was happening. That recession officially ended in June 2009. […]
Since 2005, there have been eight years in which interest rates have gone up. However, they really haven’t had a bad effect on profit growth over the long run.
The long-term interest-rate trend just shifted, ending a 28.9-year trend. And that’s not good for businesses, consumers or stocks.
The current cycle will change from expansion to recession someday. That day may be close. No matter when it comes, the United States is doomed.
Too much of America has been left behind in the latest economic boom, and it is creating a problem that will derail further gains.
Despite various headwinds, carriers placed a record number of orders for new trucks this quarter. September saw orders for semitrucks jump 92%.
If you only pay attention to averages, you’ll miss the most important things about the economy. And it’s likely to cost you a lot of money.
Nearly 20 years later, I’m finding some frightening similarities between the 2000 meltdown and today … and it’s not necessarily the indicators you’d expect.
Stock prices reflect future expectations. And data tells us investors will grow pessimistic next year as both economic and earnings growth slow down.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that there are currently more job positions open than there are workers in 12 out of 14 industries. Michael Carr shares more info.
U.S. jobless claims are even lower than the headlines reveal. But there is some bad news: There are too many people working.
Federal Reserve officials watch hundreds of data series. Among the most important is this one. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell even spoke about it recently.
Fundamentals point to more gains in stocks. It’s rare to see the S&P 500 reaching new highs while it’s undervalued. But’s that’s where we are today.
Elected Washington politicians have been anything but the “representatives” of we 327 million Americans. Keep that in mind when you vote on November 6.
Americans owe record amounts on their credit cards, car loans, student loans and mortgages. But, as I’ll show you, there is a way to profit from the trend of rising consumer debt.
The Federal Reserve meets this week. Traders believe it will raise short-term interest rates. Higher rates slow economic growth, and the Fed believes it needs to slow growth.
In 2018, I realized the grave difficulties both of my grandsons and all young Americans face today. And these young Americans are very much concerned about their future.
Members of the Fed try to manage how fast the economy grows. Usually, they manage to slow the economy. But they also end up causing a recession.
Lost in the kerfuffle of Monday’s Amazon tweet by President Donald Trump was a much bigger nugget of news about the company…
President Donald Trump has been in office for more than a year now — and I don’t think he would be impressed with his economy.
The recent GOP-Trump budget-busting, debt-hiking tax law drove another nail in the coffin of the Republicans as the “conservative” party.
The trickle-down effects of protectionist policies like tariffs will upend the U.S. economy as we know it. Here’s how it works…
Tariffs are back in the news. But policy makers at the Fed seem to be out of touch and set to repeat mistakes like those seen in the 1930s.
Thanks to our representatives in Washington, we face a future of higher interest rates, a falling dollar and falling stock prices.
After a sharp sell-off, the Dow was down more than 10%. Declines of 10% in less than two weeks are fairly common. Yet the most recent one stands out as unique.
Bond king Jeffrey Gundlach said that if the 10-year yield rises above 2.63%, it could start to hurt equities. On Friday, the rate was at 2.64%.
At least for now, traders don’t agree with the Fed. In the futures markets, traders are betting with real money that interest rates are going to decline.
Lumber prices are an important economic indicator. High demand for lumber means homebuilders are building houses, which boosts economic activity.
Amazon is about to strike at a new target. I’m certain many of you own these stocks. Well, here’s what happens when Amazon targets your stock…
Low rates mean slow economic growth. Traders are expecting a recession, possibly starting at the end of next year. This is consistent with my indicators.
Wages are growing nearly 3% a year. Of course, workers want more than that. But the Fed is worried that’s already too high.
The inflation that the Fed has been searching for has shown up in the most unexpected places, and it can’t be ignored any longer.
What did your readers have to say about Amazon Key, the company’s new In-House Delivery service? Find out in our latest mailbag round up.
This chart shows that there is serious weakness in the employment market. There are several possible causes for the decline…
An important thing to look at when gauging our economy is the overall consumer confidence outlook. Right now, that outlook is extremely positive.
A new transportation system is coming soon that will completely change the auto industry and, in time, life as we know it.
The important question is whether two straight months of gains is a sign of exhaustion or strength. Fortunately, there’s good news here.
Proposed corporate tax reform sounds good for earnings on paper. But, as this chart shows, corporations aren’t paying the top rate.
There’s a precedent for something as “unprecedented” as tax reform under an unloved president. And the precedent is bullish.
Wall Street still has a monopoly on one essential part of trading … but in time, the internet is going to wipe out this current advantage.
The president has a significant impact on the Fed since each president appoints a chair. President Donald Trump now has his chance to leave his mark.
There’s another storm ready to pummel the U.S. and leave behind a painfully slow recovery that could eat away at your wealth if you’re not prepared…
2017 will see the most houses built in the last decade. And within the housing boom, another trend is in place.
Few sectors were hit harder than insurance companies in 2008, so it stands to reason that they learned their lessons. But some lessons are not so easily learned…
Harvey will affect millions of lives, the economy of Texas, the nation’s economy and the stock market.
If employment is increasing, tax receipts should be growing, But at the end of August, employers were making smaller payroll tax deposits.
Markets are inherently unstable. And right now, the housing market is in a rare state of equilibrium. This can’t last for much longer.
My market-based forecast is bearish for the economy. It’s also bad news for anyone looking at financing a big purchase after December.
There’s one important thing the media isn’t telling you. And if you don’t know this, you’re going to miss out on massive gains in the stock market.
Stock market news has continued to weigh heavily toward politics compared to the usual economic indicators, stock news and even earnings.
You never want to find yourself unprepared for the next correction … and we’ve got a few bumps in the road that we can watch for.
Taking a road trip to Minnesota seemed like a great idea. So, too, did the idea of renting an RV through a peer-to-peer service called Outdoorsy.
Turning back the clock is always a popular idea in the country, as President Donald Trump’s election demonstrated.
There was some good news in the Congressional Budget Office’s report last week. But the report seems to be using optimistic assumptions.
A poll of economists tells us to expect a pretty good unemployment report this Friday. But other government data tell us to look for weak jobs data.
There’s no doubt our economy is just sputtering along, which isn’t necessarily bad. But the fact it continuously fails to live up to set assumptions is problematic.
Our economy has a problem that could easily become the next black swan event that topples the stock market and your plans for retirement…
With Macy’s, Sears, Chico’s and other mall retailers all shuttering locations, it seems big malls are going to be in trouble sooner rather than later.
Solar energy has emerged as a dominant force that is not only an unlimited resource, but also becoming cheaper and cheaper.
With the Fed raising interest rates on the heels of a disturbing report on U.S. consumer debt, I’m left wondering how the rest of the country will fare.
We expect 10-year yields to move higher when the Fed raises short-term interest rates. But nothing seems to be normal in the current economy.
Businesses and consumers have had enough time to react to the U.S. presidential election in a positive fashion. There’s just one problem: That isn’t the case.
In business after business, the food industry is finding out that millennials’ preferences are different than their parents’ or the previous generation’s.
June 1 marked the first day of hurricane season. When it comes to Wall Street, a different kind of storm is brewing, and now is a good time to start preparing…
A Gallup poll found that only 54% of American households own stocks. For the rest of Americans, paying today’s bills replaced investing in the future.
More than 90% of companies in the S&P 500 Index recently reported first-quarter earnings … and the results are the best we’ve seen in more than five years.
Fed economists concluded that low interest rates could last for years. This means that consumers who save money are losing buying power.
Few economic indicators look ahead, but one that does is the ISM Report on Business. This makes the ISM survey a must-read for serious investors.
Given the increase in wages and salaries in the Employment Cost Index, don’t be surprised if consumer spending mounts a significant comeback.
Postelection rallies are common. They reflect hope. Performance in the first 100 days reflects reality. And President Donald Trump’s first 100 days are average.
According to the National Financial Conditions Index, the Federal Reserve’s tightening process hasn’t had an impact on the markets yet.
When even the richest of American cities start to struggle with pension problems, it shows you we’re approaching a crisis point.
One data point that I follow when it comes to gross domestic product (GDP) is the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast.
I turned to you last week for feedback. I was curious if you felt your happiness in the U.S. was lessening — and, if so, were you considering alternatives?
The 2009 “cash for clunkers” program created a shortage of new cars and caused prices to climb higher. It also lit a fire for new-car leasing.
Wall Street is seeing strong job growth as a green light for the Federal Reserve to boost interest rates at the close of its meeting on Wednesday, March 15.
The last time the U.S. GDP annual growth rate topped 4% was back in 2000, so it will be a substantial achievement if President Donald Trump can pull it off.
If you look at the big jump that happened in the Dollar Index starting in 2013 … this did not happen because of strength. It happened because of weakness.
If you want to know the most successful technology company in the stock market right now, it might just be a company that happens to make pizzas.
The economy-wide benefits of having affordable health care outweigh the costs. Here’s my case … and I want to know if it’s a convincing one to you.
In 1957, a dollar of debt produced $0.54 of additional income. No longer. Debt has increased more than twice as fast as the growth of the economy.
With more than 70% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting for the fourth quarter, earnings are, to use the technical term, fantastic.
America has a debt problem. That shouldn’t come as a surprise. Americans continuously told that debt is good. But these bad habits could bring the economy to a sharp and painful halt.
Due to a myriad of factors, the number of manufacturing jobs in America has declined rapidly in the past several decades.
A healthy collectibles market can signal an equally healthy stock market. But a recent January auction revealed results that were less than inspiring … perhaps even worrying.
If you believe President Donald Trump’s promise to grow the U.S. GDP, the bull market could easily continue. However, a major roadblock may be in his path.
The latest GDP growth figures from the Commerce Department have a number of traders adopting a wait-and-see approach. But are they poised to miss out on the next big rally?
Once “too big to fail” banks have grown so large that it raises a troubling question: Are they now effectively too big to save in the next financial crisis?
President Donald Trump promises that 4% GDP growth is coming soon. Here’s what that kind of economy would look like … and how you can profit from it.
Minimum-wage workers got their increase: Now they’re facing the sharp bite of inflation, which means increasing prices for coffee, ice cream and everything in between.
Millennials’ interest in traveling throughout the country is often mixed with a love of being active outdoors and engaging in adventurous activities.
A new study says that 94% of the 10 million jobs created after 2008 were temp positions. That’s 10 million jobs with no security and little future … it’s a recipe for disaster.
Last year, average hourly wages rose at the fastest pace since 2009. And that’s just the beginning… Twenty states will lift their minimum wage in 2017. It’s as if the country has become a giant economic experiment.
Stocks have reached stupid valuations, and bonds are under assault from Fed rate hikes. So, here we are, at a point in history when down is far more likely for each than up.
So many promises and threats are waiting to either unfold or fizzle. Which Donald Trump will show up to his first day on the job? Wall Street’s directional future depends on that answer.
Wall Street expects a rate hike this month. But we’ve been there and done that. Of the four promised 2016 hikes, we’ve seen zero … but is the economy really ready for one now?
Right now, the market is roaring higher. This could easily turn into the next big market rally … or it could end up as a sucker’s rally right before a market collapse. So which is it?
If you consider home ownership a core of the American dream, then October may have resurrected those fading hopes. And it could get even better once a certain generation gets involved.
The Dow topped 19,000 for the first time ever on Tuesday. Bond prices are plunging. The dollar is at a 14-year high. I even heard talk of the global economy picking up speed! Beware what comes next…
As the Internet of Things takes over, it will do more than provide convenience. It promises to steal nearly all existing jobs. Without change, this is bad news all around for pretty much all of us.
America will soon be under complete Republican control — House, Senate, president. Looking back at prior periods of single-party control reveals a rather shocking stock market discovery…
For the first time ever a self-driving truck completed a commercial delivery last week. With real jobs on the line, we can no longer relegate robots and A.I. to the realm of science fiction.
Manufacturing doesn’t command the same presence it once did, but it supports a healthy middle class and the overall economy, and a new body in the Oval Office isn’t going to stop the collapse.
Do you want to follow how often the U.S. economy fails to live up to expectations? Well … there’s an app for that. And what is says about gross domestic product (GDP) isn’t pretty.
Can you inflate a balloon by taking out the air? The answer is obvious. And, yet, Wall Street is rising (to rarefied levels) even as money is flowing out. How can this be?
Despite the Fed’s blather, America’s chemistry is off. An ingredient necessary for a vibrant economy is missing. One look at the data will show you exactly what’s missing and why.
In a world where machines can make perfect burgers, there’s no need for $15-an-hour burger flippers. But the solution, basic income, is more science fiction than fact.
Since 1920, only six presidents have served a full two terms, or eight years. Obama is about to make it seven, resulting in a rare market cycle with an ominous outlook.
Every bit of economic data is dished up for consumption. A one-off snapshot that says nothing about the true state of the U.S. economy … that a consumer-driven downturn on the way.
What we are led to believe as “truth” in America is no different than what the Soviets were led to believe, and only by disengaging will you get facts to defend investment decisions.
Negative rates are a financial horror show. They’re already a reality in Japan and the EU. But some banks are beginning to balk at the idea by vaulting hard currency and gold.
This “most hated” bull market will soon become a hated bear market, and with margin debt rising unchecked, those with overleveraged accounts are going to get wiped out.
Were you convinced by the unemployment rate drop to 4.7% in May? That is what the government reported. But a closer look at the data reveals something else.
George Soros hasn’t been shy about his opinion on the potential for an EU collapse or a China-fueled economic crisis. But is the U.S. in just as bad, if not worse, shape?
The financial media talks about massive government and private debt incessantly. But there is one rising debt load that no one is talking about, and it could bring about another market crash.
The market has grown used to cries of “Deflation!” and dovish Fed speeches. So much so, that early indicators are being ignored. The fact is, inflation is about to blindside Wall Street.
As millennials look to turn the tide of wage growth, weekly initial jobless claims data point to trouble for the U.S. economy. Can the next generation provide investment opportunities?
Wall Street is pushing a positive earnings narrative this season. But, with corporations doing everything to please shareholders, are the true results really that positive? When the veil comes down, so too will the market.
In the third and final part of our interview, Jim Rogers zeroes in on crushing global debt loads and their impact on gold, the U.S. dollar and why you need to globally diversify.