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Tag: Momentum

What the Smart Money Did on Friday and Monday

My reaction to those big up days was probably like yours. Momentum (aka growth) stocks in The Bauman Letter’s model portfolio have taken a beating since the beginning of the year. So has my personal portfolio. So, when those stocks jumped like a frog off a hot highway on Friday and Monday, I breathed a sigh of relief.“ The worst must be over. The smart money is piling back in.” That’s what I wanted to think. But the facts tell a different story … and prove why smart investors ignore short-term moves like these.

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The Fed Kills the Momentum Trade

In June 2020, Barstool Sports founder and wannabe investor Dave Portnoy infamously said that “stocks only go up.” In 2022? Sorry Dave. In today’s video, Ted Bauman walks us through the consequences of the Fed’s recent hawkish turn. Even after big declines since the beginning of the year, there’s plenty of overvaluation in the market still. Ted reviews the history of stock performance in Fed tightening cycles, which is better than you might imagine. But there’s one big fear hovering over the market … what if the Fed is tightening into a downturn? That would be bad and not just for momentum stocks.

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