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Unless governments break the cycle of tariff and retaliation, a global recession or depression starts. However, China showed there could be a better way to fight a trade war.

China Shows How to Fight a 21st Century Trade War January 12, 2018 by Michael Carr Global Economy Tariffs give a country time to develop a capability or to protect a critical industry. However, China showed there could be a better way to fight a trade war.

Federal Reserve officials expect to raise interest rates three times in 2018. But traders are expecting a decline in interest rates. This is how we know.

Traders Are Betting the Fed Is Wrong January 10, 2018 by Michael Carr U.S. Economy At least for now, traders don’t agree with the Fed. In the futures markets, traders are betting with real money that interest rates are going to decline.

Bear markets, or a stock market decline of more than 20%, generally follow periods when the ROC is declining. So here's why you shouldn't be worried about a stock market decline yet.

S&P 500 Still Far From a Bubble January 8, 2018 by Michael Carr Stocks After a strong gain in 2017, many investors are worried about 2018. One concern is that the good times can’t last forever.

The CAPE ratio is one of the ways to measure what stocks are worth. An analysis of it reveals why the stock market isn't currently overvalued.

This Chart Shows Why the Stock Market Isn’t Overvalued January 4, 2018 by Michael Carr U.S. Economy Many analysts claim fundamental ratios show that stocks are overpriced. But these ratios don’t tell us very much by themselves. They need context.

Want to know how to trade stocks like a champion and boost your profits? Start with these simple trading resolutions for the new year.

Boost Your Profits With Simple Resolutions January 3, 2018 by Michael Carr Investing Many resolutions are mundane promises to eat better, lose weight or save more money. But you should also resolve to make the most of your portfolio.