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The Fed Kills the Momentum Trade January 28, 2022 Big Picture. Big Profits., Economy, Investing In June 2020, Barstool Sports founder and wannabe investor Dave Portnoy infamously said that “stocks only go up.” In 2022? Sorry Dave. In today's video, Ted Bauman walks us through the consequences of the Fed's recent hawkish turn. Even after big declines since the beginning of the year, there's plenty of overvaluation in the market still. Ted reviews the history of stock performance in Fed tightening cycles, which is better than you might imagine. But there's one big fear hovering over the market … what if the Fed is tightening into a downturn? That would be bad and not just for momentum stocks.
Microsoft’s Boundless Bounty, Dreamliner Nightmares & Disney’s Mattel Cartel January 26, 2022 Great Stuff Microsoft’s Sweet Sales Soliloquy But Microsoft (Nasdaq: )! What light through yonder Windows breaks? It is quarterly earnings, and Azure is the sun! Arise, fair sun, and kill the envious cloud computing competitors who are already sick and pale with grief that thou, the OG tech company, art far more fair than they. Oh, Great […]
A Very Mean Reversion January 26, 2022 Big Picture. Big Profits., Trading Strategies, U.S. Economy Many people believe stock market prices are usually “correct. ”The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) says that, since everybody has access to the same information about a company’s performance, its stock price shouldn’t remain over- or underpriced for long. Try telling that to someone who bought a high momentum stock in late January last year.
Nvidia’s Call To ARM; IBM’s Mic Drop & Google’s Privacy Pop January 25, 2022 Great Stuff Nvidia Throws Hands Over ARM Holdings Somebody once told me Nvidia’s (Nasdaq: ) gonna roll me. He ain’t the sharpest tool in the shed. They were looking kinda dumb, said the ARM deal wouldn’t come and that Nvidia soon would be dead. Well, the hits start coming and they don’t stop coming. The Fed makes […]
Profit During Volatility With This Little-Known Indicator January 25, 2022 Big Picture. Big Profits., Investment Opportunities, U.S. Economy I can get pretty geeked out by stock market figures and stats. Like yesterday’s action, for example. The S&P 500 Index was down 4% at one point. Yet it managed to rally and ended the day in positive territory. It was a rally for the record books, for sure. That’s only the third time in the last 45 years that markets have recovered so fast from such a steep decline in the same day! But yesterday’s epic display of percentage losses and gains in the S&P 500 aren’t the only ones I find interesting...





