Latest Insights on CF
Tariffs Are Not the Problem, Investor Sentiment Is December 10, 2018 Economy
The problem isn’t really tariff rates. The problem is how investors think about tariff rates. Investor sentiment moves markets, not low tariff rates.
Get Ready to Say Goodbye to Cash! December 6, 2018 Best of Series, Currency, Economy
Payment solutions firm Visa is making an effort to encourage small-business owners to use its services. Visa received entries from across the United States for its Visa Cashless Challenge. And 50 businesses won. They each received $10,000 to spend on improvements such as digital commerce enhancements, point-of-sale upgrades, etc. These conveniences help businesses attract customers […]
Most Stocks Are Still in Downtrends December 3, 2018 Stocks
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments should scare investors. The current state of the stock market should also scare investors.src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iNDBweCIgIGhlaWdodD0iNDBweCIgIHhtbG5zPSJodHRwOi8vd3d3LnczLm9yZy8yMDAwL3N2ZyIgdmlld0JveD0iMCAwIDEwMCAxMDAiIHByZXNlcnZlQXNwZWN0UmF0aW89InhNaWRZTWlkIiBjbGFzcz0ibGRzLWVjbGlwc2UiIHN0eWxlPSJhbmltYXRpb24tcGxheS1zdGF0ZTogcnVubmluZzsgYW5pbWF0aW9uLWRlbGF5OiAwczsgYmFja2dyb3VuZDogbm9uZTsiPjxwYXRoIG5nLWF0dHItZD0ie3tjb25maWcucGF0aENtZH19IiBuZy1hdHRyLWZpbGw9Int7Y29uZmlnLmNvbG9yfX0iIHN0cm9rZT0ibm9uZSIgZD0iTTEwIDUwQTQwIDQwIDAgMCAwIDkwIDUwQTQwIDQzIDAgMCAxIDEwIDUwIiBmaWxsPSJyZ2JhKDAlLDAlLDAlLDAuNikiIHRyYW5zZm9ybT0icm90YXRlKDM2MCAtOC4xMDg3OGUtOCAtOC4xMDg3OGUtOCkiIGNsYXNzPSIiIHN0eWxlPSJhbmltYXRpb24tcGxheS1zdGF0ZTogcnVubmluZzsgYW5pbWF0aW9uLWRlbGF5OiAwczsiPjxhbmltYXRlVHJhbnNmb3JtIGF0dHJpYnV0ZU5hbWU9InRyYW5zZm9ybSIgdHlwZT0icm90YXRlIiBjYWxjTW9kZT0ibGluZWFyIiB2YWx1ZXM9IjAgNTAgNTEuNTszNjAgNTAgNTEuNSIga2V5VGltZXM9IjA7MSIgZHVyPSIwLjVzIiBiZWdpbj0iMHMiIHJlcGVhdENvdW50PSJpbmRlZmluaXRlIiBjbGFzcz0iIiBzdHlsZT0iYW5pbWF0aW9uLXBsYXktc3RhdGU6IHJ1bm5pbmc7IGFuaW1hdGlvbi1kZWxheTogMHM7Ij48L2FuaW1hdGVUcmFuc2Zvcm0+PC9wYXRoPjwvc3ZnPg==" Measuring Boom & Bust: Net Income Margin Signals 40% Market Fall
November 29, 2018 Stocks
Economists agree there’s a cycle of growth and contraction, or boom and bust. The net income margin measures these changes and is signaling a 40% fall.
The Bear Market Started, but Don’t Sell All Your Stocks November 22, 2018 Stocks
I believe the long-awaited bear market started in October. That’s consistent with my forecast for a recession in early 2019.






