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I believe the long-awaited bear market started in October. That’s consistent with my forecast for a recession in early 2019. Lumber Prices Show How Bad the Economy Will Get January 3, 2019 by Michael Carr Soft Commodities One story some analysts are missing is the price of lumber. After surging to a new all-time high in May, futures prices fell 48% by the end of the year.
Dow Jones 1,000 Point Gain After Christmas Signals Short Rally December 31, 2018 by Michael Carr Stocks This chart shows the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 1,000-point gain on the day after Christmas included a rare buy signal.
A bear market can delay retirement plans. It can even lower your income for life. The consequences are so dire, it’s worth considering a downside target. Here’s Why This Bear Market Will Ruin 2019 December 27, 2018 by Michael Carr Stocks A bear market can delay retirement plans. It can even lower your income for life. The consequences are so dire, it’s worth considering a downside target.
Stock prices have been dropping since October. Yet they can still drop more. That’s because, even after double-digit declines, stocks remain overvalued. The Beaten-Down Stock Market Is Still Overvalued December 24, 2018 by Michael Carr Stocks Stock prices have been dropping since October. Yet they can still drop more. That’s because, even after double-digit declines, stocks remain overvalued.
Bull markets condition individuals to buy dips. Uptrends reward buyers for that behavior. But in a bear market, dip buyers rapidly face large losses. Investors Don’t Understand We’re in a Bear Market December 20, 2018 by Michael Carr Stocks Bull markets condition individuals to buy dips. Uptrends reward buyers for that behavior. But in a bear market, dip buyers rapidly face large losses.

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