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There was some good news in the Congressional Budget Office's report last week. But the report seems to be using optimistic assumptions.

Trump Is Teeing Up the Next Financial Crisis July 17, 2017 by Michael Carr U.S. Economy There was some good news in the Congressional Budget Office's report last week. But the report seems to be using optimistic assumptions.

The Smart Money Is Nibbling at Oil July 13, 2017 by Michael Carr Oil The headlines are clear: Oil will never be able to pull out of this bear market. But there are some bullish investors in the market.

Financial markets are a real-time measure of how people react to history. When war threatens, selling often escalates. That’s when smart traders buy.

If North Korea Launches a Nuke, It’s Probably a Buy Signal July 11, 2017 by Michael Carr Trading Strategies Financial markets are a real-time measure of how people react to history. When war threatens, selling often escalates. That’s when smart traders buy.

Dow Theory is a simple way to define the stock market’s trend. However, believing this theory could be an expensive mistake.

Wall Street’s Oldest Indicator Says Buy, But It’s Probably Wrong July 10, 2017 by Michael Carr Stocks Dow Theory is a simple way to define the stock market’s trend. However, believing this theory could be an expensive mistake.

A poll of economists tells us to expect a pretty good unemployment report this Friday. But other government data tell us to look for weak jobs data.

Friday’s Unemployment Report Is Likely to Be Trouble for Stocks July 6, 2017 by Michael Carr U.S. Economy A poll of economists tells us to expect a pretty good unemployment report this Friday. But other government data tell us to look for weak jobs data.