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long-term reversion bad news for momentum traders A Very Mean Reversion January 26, 2022 by Ted Bauman Big Picture. Big Profits., Trading Strategies, U.S. Economy Many people believe stock market prices are usually “correct. ”The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) says that, since everybody has access to the same information about a company’s performance, its stock price shouldn’t remain over- or underpriced for long. Try telling that to someone who bought a high momentum stock in late January last year.
The Investment of the Decade The Investment of the Decade January 17, 2022 by Angela Jirau Big Picture. Big Profits., Real Estate, Trading Strategies, U.S. Economy In today’s Your Money Matters, Clint Lee and Ted Bauman discuss what Ted calls the “investment of the decade.” Crypto? Pot stocks? NFTs? None of the above. Instead, it’s the investment that has created more wealth than any other in human history. It’s a classic play on supply and demand. And right now, demand is dramatically outstripping supply … creating three types of opportunities that can bring you huge gains if you buy in now.
ARKK and Stocks Relying on Faith Despite Rising Interest Rates Ted vs. ARKK January 14, 2022 by Ted Bauman Big Picture. Big Profits., Investing, Trading Strategies One of the hallmarks of an asset bubble is that investors increasingly rely on “faith and love” to justify their decisions. Indeed, hanging on to promising stocks when they’re down is critical to long-term returns. That’s why I always remind Bauman Letter readers to stay smart and tough. But the smart part is critical. In today’s video, I look at recent market performance in the context of rapidly rising interest rate expectations to identify the stocks that justify faith and love … and those that don’t.
2022 stock market's big short Get Ready for 2022’s “Big Short” January 11, 2022 by Ted Bauman Big Picture. Big Profits., Economy, Investing Originators handed out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) like Halloween candy. Big banks packed them into MBS. They bribed agencies for AAA ratings. Then they sold them to unsuspecting investors. The shorts predicted that when ARMs began to reset in the second quarter of 2007, the MBS market would collapse like a Jenga tower .That’s exactly what it did. Their short bets earned them billions. The rest of the financial system collapsed. All through the movie, I kept asking myself one question … where’s the opportunity for today’s Big Short?
growth stocks affected by fed and pandemic The Fed’s Double Game Puts the Hurt on Growth Stocks January 10, 2022 by Angela Jirau Big Picture. Big Profits., Education, U.S. Economy Two powerful forces have closed in on growth stocks: The Fed and the pandemic. But, what does this mean for the rest of the market? Are we seeing a dot-com peak followed by a waterfall decline … or is this just a rotation that smart investors can profit from? In today’s Your Money Matters, Ted Bauman and Clint Lee discuss the fall of growth indexes, the Fed’s tapering timeline and how you can protect and grow your portfolio.

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