Our readers had some heated reactions to Mike Carr’s piece on the Russian invasion. Today, he clears the air…
As the pandemic sunk the entire global economy, the world was awash in too much oil. And storing oil is expensive, so producers were paying buyers just to take it off their hands! Things are very different today. Oil is pushing over $100 to hit levels we haven’t seen since 2014, reflecting today’s scenario of tight supplies and little extra capacity. It just goes to show how unstable these commodities markets can be from one year to the next. A major crash could be around the next corner and most investors probably wouldn’t know it. In fact, here’s why the world is possibly staring at a full-blown energy crisis…
Would World War II have come as quickly as it did? Probably not. In reality, Germany was already isolated. After 1933, the Nazis moved to make the country self-reliant. Everything went to Hitler’s war machine. Germany didn’t depend on Europe for anything in 1939, and vice versa. From its spurious historical rationale to its bloodiness, Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is a carbon copy of Hitler’s invasion of Poland (with one exception: Putin’s blitzkrieg appears to be failing in the face of fanatical Ukrainian resistance).And yet, Russian commodities still flow westward. Although Western sanctions have ratcheted up faster than I expected, there are still big carve-outs for Russian energy exports.
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