To Win at Investing, Accept That There Is NO Normal
At times of extreme uncertainty, external factors drive the prices of individual stocks. Some are “a bit” predictable, like the actions of the Federal Reserve. Others are true “Black Swans” — completely unpredictable events such as Omicron. In “normal” times, on the other hand, we’re supposed to be able to predict the movement of stock prices using standard models. But what if there are no normal times? A fascinating article by a famous investment analyst convinces me that this is exactly the case.
