I can tell just by looking… As a parent of three young children, I know if something is amiss with one glance. A ball broke the picture in the living room? There’s a look for that. You’re asking me for more candy when your mom already said no? There’s a look for that.
“Uncle … UNCLE!”As the father of two young boys, I often hear those words hollered when one has the other pinned. The stock market is screaming a similar phrase right now as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell puts equities in a chokehold. But he’s not letting up.
At the simplest level, “what just happened” is that stocks went down… A lot. Going one step further, we can say that stocks went down because bond yields went up. Again, a lot. But to really understand why stocks and bonds have fallen so hard and so fast, we need to understand why they went up so much in the first place.
As the Treasury yield curve goes “inverted” and Wall Street panics, I break down the practical results of yield curve inversions, the prospects of a near-term recession and what you can expect for your portfolio in 2022.
Find out this and more in your Friday edition of Big Picture, Big Profits.
Originators handed out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) like Halloween candy. Big banks packed them into MBS. They bribed agencies for AAA ratings. Then they sold them to unsuspecting investors. The shorts predicted that when ARMs began to reset in the second quarter of 2007, the MBS market would collapse like a Jenga tower .That’s exactly what it did. Their short bets earned them billions. The rest of the financial system collapsed. All through the movie, I kept asking myself one question … where’s the opportunity for today’s Big Short?
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