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Big Picture. Big Profits.

Powell’s Fed Flirts With Recession

In the first Matrix movie (1999 vintage), a black cat crossing a hallway triggers a case of déjà vu for Neo. It was a sign that something was amiss … and that things were about to go downhill fast. Now I’m having my own episode of déjà vu … and maybe you are too. Because it all sounds too familiar. COVID striking the heart of a key industrial hub in China. The Chinese government locking down millions of citizens to prevent the spread even further. The cascade effect goes on to wreak havoc on supply chains, disrupting key ports and shipping activity. That’s not a recap of 2020 … that’s the latest news from this Sunday.

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It’s the End of the World as We Know It

Many young investors are only dimly aware of the subprime mortgage crisis and the dot-com bust. They can’t imagine a world with conditions like those. They take recent circumstances for granted. Now there’s another big shift underway … one that could be far more consequential for the economy, our politics and our pocketbooks than either of those two events. I’m talking about the collapse of globalization…

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