Why Small Caps Need the Fed in 2022
2007 was arguably the last ordinary year for investors — and looking back, Amber sees some important implications for small caps in 2022.
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Tag: Federal Reserve
Get Ready for 2022’s “Big Short”
Originators handed out adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) like Halloween candy. Big banks packed them into MBS. They bribed agencies for AAA ratings. Then they sold them to unsuspecting investors. The shorts predicted that when ARMs began to reset in the second quarter of 2007, the MBS market would collapse like a Jenga tower .That’s exactly what it did. Their short bets earned them billions. The rest of the financial system collapsed. All through the movie, I kept asking myself one question … where’s the opportunity for today’s Big Short?
The Fed’s Double Game Puts the Hurt on Growth Stocks
Two powerful forces have closed in on growth stocks: The Fed and the pandemic. But, what does this mean for the rest of the market? Are we seeing a dot-com peak followed by a waterfall decline … or is this just a rotation that smart investors can profit from? In today’s Your Money Matters, Ted Bauman and Clint Lee discuss the fall of growth indexes, the Fed’s tapering timeline and how you can protect and grow your portfolio.
The Fed’s Great Switcheroo
The narrative around the Fed’s increasingly hawkish stance is that it’s reacting to consumer price inflation. That’s part of it, but I’m convinced Powell & Co. are playing at a much bigger game. Ever since the great financial crisis, asset markets have become unhealthily dependent on easy money. Besides exacerbating inequality, artificially inflated asset markets are prone to bubbles and bust. That’s why the most incisive market watchers have been saying for a long time that the Fed’s biggest challenge is to end this dependency once and for all. If that’s what the Fed is doing, how’s it going to affect markets? More importantly, which assets will suffer, and which will prosper?
2022: The Big Picture
“Predictably unpredictable.” That’s 2021 in a nutshell. The last month was a real doozy. We’ve had a suddenly resurgent pandemic, a major Federal Reserve pivot and stocks swinging in all directions. Many of those same variables will stay in play for the stock market as we head into 2022. Ted put together a terrific list of what to watch for. So, for my 2022 predictions, I pondered a few big-picture challenges and opportunities that lay ahead. Let’s get the obstacles out of the way first…
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