Are you using the “Alpha-4 Approach”?
“Predictably unpredictable.” That’s 2021 in a nutshell. The last month was a real doozy. We’ve had a suddenly resurgent pandemic, a major Federal Reserve pivot and stocks swinging in all directions. Many of those same variables will stay in play for the stock market as we head into 2022. Ted put together a terrific list of what to watch for. So, for my 2022 predictions, I pondered a few big-picture challenges and opportunities that lay ahead. Let’s get the obstacles out of the way first…
No, I’m not talking about Christmas … which is only three days away, according to my youngest son’s daily update. It’s the arrival of investment outlook guides. Whether it’s email or snail mail, I’m receiving several every day this week, each divining what 2022 has in store. I thoroughly enjoy these pieces, especially hearing how other predictions may conflict with my own forecasts for the year ahead. But something is missing. Before jumping into predictions, I wish there was more reflection on the year we’re about to complete. After all, you can learn a great deal reflecting on these experiences … whether it’s about yourself or your investment process .And as I look back on 2021, I keep arriving at one simple theme.
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