Party Like It’s 1999?
Though it may not feel like the tech bubble of 1999, there are clear similarities between then and today.
One similarity is investor expectations of the market.
According to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey, fund managers are the most concerned they’ve been about markets being overvalued since 1999. And like in 1999, they’re also largely expecting global profits to improve.
Take a look:
And we all know how it ended then.
The Nasdaq Composite Index, which represents mostly tech stocks, peaked in March of 2000. What followed was a 77% decline for the index — one of the worst bear markets in recent history.
Tech stocks are once again at record levels, and even though it doesn’t quite seem as euphoric as it did in 1999, the sentiment is eerily familiar.
Chad Shoop, CMT
Editor, Automatic Profits Alert
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