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U.S. Oil Stock Rated “Strong Bullish” Will Keep Crushing the Market

Adam O'Dell
U.S. Oil Stock Rated “Strong Bullish” Will Keep Crushing the Market

Last week, I promised to tell you my “origin story”…How it put me on the path to becoming a successful investor … and developing the stock-rating system I’m eager to tell you about today.I cut my teeth trading foreign currencies for two eccentric millionaires who — besides being millionaires — could not have been more different.One was formerly JPMorgan’s top currency trader, a neurotic New Yorker who rarely slept. We’ll call him “Nate” … “Nate the New Yorker.”The other was a former grain trader from Chicago. Let’s call him “Chad” … “Chad from Chicago.”As I said, Nate slept very little. He prided himself in reading every single piece of news that flowed across his Bloomberg terminal.He was what I call a “feel” trader. He immersed himself in the news flow … got a feel for which direction the stories pushed the prices of certain currencies … and simply traded based on his gut.It was a spectacle to watch him trade. He made money overall … but the swings were wild. And it was utterly impossible for him to teach anyone what he was doing.Then there was Chad…I kid you not, Chad spent most of the trading day in a hammock reading books.He rarely knew what the day’s news was, but he was quick to pop from his hammock to make trades on a nearby laptop, whenever it gave a screeching “Ahhh-OOOOO-Ga” monkey-call sound.See, Chad was what’s called a systematic trader. He created a strategy that clearly defined:

I quickly gravitated to Chad. Not only could I see he was more cool, calm and collected in his daily life … Chad was able to teach me how to make money in the markets.He was able to explain why his approach works. And that made me feel like I had a fighting chance at replicating his success.Because frankly, unless you’re lucky and have some “sixth sense” about the markets the way Nate seemed to … you need a system if you want to consistently make money.That’s why I developed my stock-rating system for the Money & Markets community.Today I’ll show you how you can start using it today for free, and share its forecast for a powerful, imminent bull market in a previously hated sector…

Introducing My Stock Power Ratings System

My experience with Nate and Chad taught me that news flow is not the true driver of lasting, market-beating stock returns.The six factors I included in my Stock Power Ratings system are the true drivers…These factors include:

All told, my Stock Power Ratings system considers 75 individual metrics, each of which falls into one of these six factors. Both academic research and real-world results prove these factors work.This rating system gives me, my team and our community of investors an immensely powerful tool chest… And it’s free for anyone who wants to use it.If you’re curious whether a stock is “cheap” or “expensive,” you can quickly check my system and see the stock’s value rating.If you want to judge how fast a company is growing, you can easily check its growth rating.Just go to the Money & Markets website, type in at ticker on the upper right, and click the listing to see what the Stock Power Ratings system says about it.Here’s what that looks like…

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My Stock Power Ratings system rates a stock between zero (poor) and 100 (favorable), for each of the six return-driving factors.Each stock also receives an overall rating. As you can see above, Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) earns an overall rating of 94 out of 100. (Much more to say about that below.)Its lowest factor rating is on size. It earns a low 1 out of 100, merely because Exxon is a massive company with a more than $400 billion market cap.That means we can’t expect Exxon to beat the market thanks to the “size” premium that tends to favor smaller companies. But otherwise, Exxon rates very high on the other five return-driving factors:

Now, at this point you might be thinking…How is it that Exxon can be a “momentum” stock…And a “value” stock…And a “growth” stock?!Well, I’m glad you asked!

“How Can Exxon Be All These Things?!”

One of the biggest misconceptions about investing is that a stock can only be one thing.Either a “value” stock or a “growth” stock … a “momentum” stock or a “low-volatility” stock.Nothing could be further from the truth! In reality, the best stocks are the ones that meet multiple criteria.There are certainly stocks out there with high ratings on one of the six return-driving factors my system considers. But that doesn’t make it a great stock.For instance, a stock might trade at a low price-to-earnings ratio, making it seem like a good “value” stock…But it can still be large, volatile, not growing revenues and trending downward.A stock like that may earn a high value rating on my system, but its overall rating would be quite low.Those are not the stocks my team and I look for!Instead, we leverage my Stock Power Ratings system to find “well-rounded” stocks that rate well on four, five or all six factors. They earn the highest overall ratings.Any stock that rates 80 or above overall earns our “Strong Bullish” label.That’s an important distinction. My research shows that stocks that rate 80 or higher on my system have historically gone on to beat the overall market’s return by 3X!These are the stocks that are “firing on all cylinders,” so to speak.The company’s balance sheets and profitability are strong…Revenues and cash flows are growing faster than average…Their share prices aren’t volatile and are trending higher — at a faster rate — than their peers…And, on top of all that, they trade for either “fair” or “cheap” valuations. Right now, Exxon Mobil ticks all these boxes.Listen, when you find a stock that beats the market on each of the return-driving factors … that’s the stock you want to get into!Even better, when you see a group of stocks from the same sector or industry all receive strong ratings on my Stock Power Ratings system, it can send a clear signal that the entire sector is ripe for market-beating returns.More than nearly any other industry, this is what I see happening in oil and gas right now…

Ratings Reveal MAJOR Oil and Gas Opportunity

See, it’s not just Exxon Mobil that rates “Strong Bullish” on my system.I asked my research analyst, Matt Clark, to run what we call an “X-ray” on the individual stocks in the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF (NYSE: XOP).The oil and gas industry was left for dead heading into 2020, thanks to a major bear market in oil that began in 2014.Few people were talking about that bear market because, well, the rest of the stock market was chugging higher. And cheaper gas prices made the economy run smoother overall.It wasn’t such a good move to be in oil and gas stocks between 2014 and 2020. Growth and profitability declined … and stock prices trended lower by the day.But now … you’d be a fool to not get into oil and gas stocks!I think we’re in the very early innings of what I expect will be a massive, multiyear bull market in oil.It’s a big-picture story which I’ll share with you very soon…But until then, just know that all the factors that led to a major bear market in oil between 2014 and 2020 are now running in reverse.It’s about to unleash a massive bull market in oil … and the best-positioned oil and gas stocks will reap the greatest rewards.You can see the early signs of the industry’s newfound strength in the “X-ray” I had Matt run on the oil and gas ETF, XOP.Remember when I said Exxon Mobile earns a “Strong Bullish” rating of 94 out of 100?Turns out that 40 of the fund’s 59 total stock holdings also earn my Stock Power Ratings system’s coveted “Strong Bullish” rating. A further 13 of them earn our “Bullish” rating, with overall scores between 60 and 80.This all suggests the oil and gas sector is primed for a massive new rally. The highest-rated oil and gas stocks could easily beat the market by 3X or more!My team and I are leveraging my Stock Power Ratings system to find the best of the best oil plays. I expect my No. 1 stock for this trend to soar 100% higher in just 100 days.I’ll reveal all the details later this month. So, click here to stay up to date with the massive oil bull market that I’m tracking.Until next time!To good profits,Adam O’DellEditor, Money & MarketsP.S. Before you go, I’ll ask you to take two minutes and do me a quick favor…Think about a stock … any stock. Maybe it’s one you already own a lot of. Maybe it’s one you’re thinking about buying. Maybe it’s even one you got as a tip from a newsletter like this one.I want you to take that ticker, head over to the Money & Markets website, and plug it in.What does the Stock Power Ratings system say about it? Do you feel differently about the stock than you did before?Email me at BanyanEdge@BanyanHill.com with what you found … and I’ll look to share what your fellow readers discovered in my next dispatch.

Market Edge: “Just” 4.6% Unemployment, Eh?

As I wrote yesterday, the Fed has a way of overshooting when it tightens monetary policy with interest rate hikes … and not by a small amount.The result is that they generally push us into a recession, and unemployment spikes more than anticipated.In the 2008 Great Recession, the Fed had forecast unemployment rising to about 5%. But before the bleeding stopped, the unemployment rate actually went as high as 10%.So … what is the Fed forecasting today?In its latest release, the Fed expects economic growth to slow to about 0.5% and unemployment rising from 3.7% to 4.6%.If history is any guide, they’re undershooting both of those estimates.Let’s start with gross domestic product growth. Half a percent is still growth, albeit slow growth. But it would technically mean we avoided recession.It’s a comforting forecast from the Fed, but the bond market begs to differ.

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This is the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 2-year Treasury. It’s negative today, which means that short-term rates are higher than long-term rates — in other words, the yield curve is inverted.Not only is it inverted … it’s the most inverted it’s been in over 40 years!Short-term rates should never be higher than long-term rates, or at least not in a normal, functioning market. An inversion like this is a sign of distress … and every yield curve inversion since World War II has been followed by a recession.There is a first time for everything, and it is possible that the Fed gets it just right and manages to kill inflation without also killing the economy. But why would we assume this time is different?The job market is still really hot right now and with any luck the Fed’s forecast — that the unemployment rate “only” rises to 4.6% — will hold.But given that it is likely wrong on the recession forecast, it’s hard to see it being right on unemployment. And if it was wrong on the scale they were wrong in 2008, we’re looking at an unemployment rate over 9%.I don’t know too many successful investors who base their trading decisions on the precise level of the unemployment rate … or on any other specific datapoint. By the time data is officially released, it’s often already leaked and priced in.This is why it’s valuable to listen to someone like Adam. He boils the investment process down to the factors that have been proven to actually matter.He told you all about his Stock Power Ratings system above. I highly encourage you to visit the Money & Markets website and see what it has to offer.But for a look at the best-of-the-best stocks Adam’s recommending for the new energy bull market, go here and sign yourself up for his exclusive event airing later this month.

Charles SizemoreChief Editor, The Banyan Edge
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