An Early Spring Pays

An Early Spring Pays

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Trade Alert: Time to Have FUN

Trade Alert: Time to Have FUN

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Trade Alert: Lock in Profits

Trade Alert: Lock in Profits

We’re locking in some exceedingly quick profits. Last Thursday I sent you a trade alert to double down on our Cabela’s (NYSE:CAB) position by opening a new put option on Cabela’s. That trade has panned out exactly as I expected. After Cabela’s shares spiked on the company’s earnings report, the stock has steadily drifted lower, […]

A Drought That Just Won’t Die

On our Precision Profits editorial call earlier this week, Chris Orr and I chatted about California’s current drought, largely considered the worst one since the state began keeping records in the 1800s. While California’s dry stretch is reaching desperate proportions — leaving crops desiccated and reservoirs drained — it is not exactly a new phenomenon, […]

The 2015 Severe-Storm Report

The 2015 Severe-Storm Report

April showers might bring May flowers, but they also herald a few other, less pleasant things: tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, 80-mph winds — you know, your typical litany of springtime, weather-borne disasters.  April kicks-off severe thunderstorm season … and Chris Orr tells me we should start preparing ourselves, because it’s going to be harsh this year. […]

Buy Puts on Scotts

Buy Puts on Scotts

It’s finally time to get back out in the yard, tend to our gardens and prune those bushes that haven’t been touched all winter. Spring is here, and we can emerge from our winter hibernation at long, long last. And now that much of the country is seeing winter finally fade away, it’s time for […]

Spring Cleaning for Our April Options

Spring Cleaning for Our April Options

Today, a little spring cleaning is in order. We have one trade expiring next month: the Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN) $87.50 puts. So today, we’re going to close it, which means we’ll being saying farewell to the last of our winter-related trades. Action to take: Sell to close the MTN April 2015 $87.50 put option […]

Rough Waters for Carnival

Rough Waters for Carnival

Good news! It’s time to stash your winter coats back in your attic. Tomorrow is officially the first day of spring. And if you’ve read Chris’s forecast, you’ll know that it’s going to be an average spring storm-wise because the Gulf of Mexico is getting back to its typical warm temperatures. That presents an opportunity […]

Update on Vail

Update on Vail

You’ve probably heard that we’re hosting our Offshore Investment Summit in Uruguay this week. On Monday, Jeff flew over there to speak about the state of the dollar: why its strength is temporary and what we can do to protect ourselves from its coming fall. Since he’s giving presentations and touring the country with the […]

Brace Yourself for Another Rough Winter

Brace Yourself for Another Rough Winter

Be prepared! It’s gonna be cooooold next winter. I know, I know, you haven’t even seen my summer forecast yet — that’ll be coming your way in a couple months — and I’m already jumping ahead to the end of the year. I do so because I want to share more of my forecasting process, […]

Trade Alert: Reverse Cabela’s

Trade Alert: Reverse Cabela’s

We’re exiting Cabela’s (NYSE: CAB) today. I gave the Nebraska-based chain of outdoor recreation stores a couple of extra weeks to see how the stock reacted after the company reported an earnings miss because crazy competition over the holidays forced Cabela’s to increase its ad spending, which cut into profits. The shares have done nothing, […]

We Took a Triple-Digit Gain in FUN

We Took a Triple-Digit Gain in FUN

Yesterday, I sent you an alert to safeguard your Cedar Fair (NYSE: FUN) gains ahead of today’s earnings report … and it was the right call. But there was a mistake in the language of the trade I gave you. This morning, Cedar reported record revenues for 2014 but it failed to live up to […]

Cabela’s Is Headed for a Rise

Cabela’s Is Headed for a Rise

This morning, Cabela’s (NYSE: CAB) announced earnings for the fourth quarter, and the results initially scared the market, sending the shares down 10% quickly on the open. But after the market opened, the company held its conference call and shares began to rebound. Here’s why… Revenues climbed a healthy 7.2%, yet the stock fell short […]

Your 2015 Spring Forecast is Ready

Your 2015 Spring Forecast is Ready

Spring is right around the corner, and as I do whenever there’s a change in seasons, I asked Chris to put together his weather forecast for you. He tells me that this year’s spring is coming early, despite what Punxsutawney Phil seems to believe. There’s also a horde of weather patterns conflating to create the […]

Sell the Kohl’s Put Option

Sell the Kohl’s Put Option

You can’t win ’em all. After a streak of numerous triple-digit gains, we’re exiting Kohl’s (NYSE: KSS) today with a loss. The stock simply moved against our seasonal expectation, and that requires we exit. Action to take: Sell to close the KSS April 17, 2015, $57.50 put option (KSS150417P00057500) at market. At last glance, the […]

The Climate-Change Hoax

The Climate-Change Hoax

Last week, Jeff told you about my nor’easter forecast. And since fears of that storm shut down most of the Northeast this week, he asked me to send you an update while he travels to Germany. First off, even though the weather guys (including the National Weather Service) were forecasting a “potentially historic blizzard,” that […]

Collect a Triple-Digit Gain in Cedar Fair

Collect a Triple-Digit Gain in Cedar Fair

Our Cedar Fair (NYSE: FUN) June call option has surged in just a month, and it is now up more than 100%. Let’s go ahead and lock in that profit by selling half of the position. Action to take: Sell half of your position in the FUN June 2015 $45 call option (FUN150619C00045000) for $8.40 […]

Warning: The Drought is Coming Back

Warning: The Drought is Coming Back

This week, I want to share Chris’s updated winter forecast. Winter’s grip has been unrelenting this year, and it’s not quite ready to let go. As Chris previously wrote, a polar vortex will hit us next week — with extremes that may top the last one. And that’s not the end of it. Here’s Chris: […]

Warning: The Drought is Coming Back

Warning: The Drought is Coming Back

Yesterday, I finally fell victim to the flu. Since I’m stuck at home recuperating, I asked Chris if he could share some weather news with you. We ended up having a discussion about California’s drought that I think you’ll find interesting.   Since 2011, California has been stuck in a drought that has wrung its […]

The Snowpocalypse Brought Us a 145% Gain

The Snowpocalypse Brought Us a 145% Gain

We are up 145% in our Carnival (NYSE: CCL) trade, and it’s time to collect our gains. Action to take: Sell your remaining CCL April 2015 $40 call option at a limit price of $6.20. At last glance, it was trading at $6.6. At a limit of $6.20, we will lock in a gain of […]